Oh boy, what a terrible week for gold mining stocks! When it rains it pours, as they so often say. Fortunately, as a buyer, these down weeks provide some of the best opportunities that we have to add to our positions. By no means do I think that the worst is over… In fact, I think that more troubling times are yet to come once tax–loss season commences in December. However, I don’t have a crystal ball so I can just do the best that I can to continue to take advantage of low prices when they emerge.
So, I made the following purchases:
- 3,000 shares of Endeavour Silver (EXK)@ $1.56/share
- 2,000 shares of Klondex Mines (KLDX) @ $2.39/share
- 30,000 shares of Gold Canyon Resources (GDCRF) @ $0.265/share
- 3,000 shares of IAMGOLD (IAG) @ $1.55/share
- 1,100 shares of McEwen Mining @ $0.87/share
I did mention in the last post that I wanted to start conserving more cash… To make ends meet, what I had to do was dip into my 401K account to fund these purchases. Not ideal, but you’ve got to do what you’ve got to do. As long as I continue to maintain a cash balance of over $100,000 I’m comfortable enough with the risks that I am taking with these kinds of speculations.
Like always, I try and do what I say. I mentioned that I thought shares of EXK and IAG were approaching cheap valuations so that when they eclipsed my thresholds, I had to buy and dollar cost average down. Similarly, I did the same with KLDX. As it pertains to GDCRF (my arbitrage opportunity to get into First Mining Finance), I just really admire Keith Neumeyer and the First Mining Finance (FF.V) team’s business model and strongly believe that management will do what it takes to make this company a massive success story. These guys are buying up assets for literally pennies on the dollar (which makes it much harder to screw things up), which is absolutely the most brilliant thing you can do in a bear market. While many majors got burned during the last bull market, such as Barrick Gold (ABX), by paying far too much for goods, First Mining is being aggressive when others are timid and cutting back. In contrast, ABX has a greatly bloated balance sheet and has been selling off assets at the bottom of a cycle… the worst time to do so!
In the process, I also liquidated out of my position in Hecla Mining (HL), selling all 1,500 shares @ $2.12/share. HL was never one of my favorite ideas so I booked profits and utilized the funds to help expand my other positions. McEwen Mining is also a company that I probably will not hold for the long haul. I thought prices were cheap so I bought some to trade over the short-term.
It sure has been a busy week… But if the market wants to keep punishing gold and gold mining stocks then I will have no choice but to keep buying more! The current valuations are absolutely absurd and to me that is an indisputable fact.
By no means is IAMGOLD my favorite idea (it’s definitely not), but it’s hard for me to turn away from these valuation metrics:
From Yahoo Finance:
IAMGOLD has it’s share of problems (Westwood Mine accidents, untimely oil hedge contracts, West Africa exposure, etc.), no doubt. Just like any other mining company… But at ~$1.50/share and below, I’m buying. Like the rest of the lot, IAMGOLD quite frankly just needs the price of gold to turn for its share price to spike higher.
Just to be clear, these type of valuations are NOT uncommon in this sector… Teranga Gold (TGZ.TO), Perseus Mining (PRU.TO), Newmarket Gold (NMI.TO), etc. are trading at similar, if not cheaper valuations.
Silver, for example, is currently selling for less then the cost of production for many mining companies… like Endeavour Silver. If prices decline much lower, mines will be forced to shut down (which is already happening)! As an investor, you’ve got to love and salivate over that fact… Anytime a commodity (that is needed by the world) trades for at or below the cost of production, you’ve got to start paying attention. The world isn’t going to stop demanding more gold and silver, so I’ve got no worries about demand waning; these investments are commodities for crying out loud, not a speculative new high-tech web start-up company! If anything, demand from emerging nations such as China and India will only increase over time. Supply destruction can only lead to higher prices!!!
Quite simply, I am a deep value investor and my philosophy is to buy when we are down in the dumps and no one else is interested in a particular investment. I’m agnostic in that sense — I don’t care if we are talking about: real estate, S&P 500, dividend growth stocks, commodities, etc. If it’s down, out, and absolutely unequivocally hated and despised by the mainstream, I’m all ears.
When the tide finally turns, and it is only a question of when not if, I should be well positioned to capitalize on the move back up. Markets are cyclical and when they go up or down they tend to overshoot drastically. History doesn’t rhyme, it only repeats… This has happened over and over and over and over again.
At some point in time we will get a reversion back to the mean. Prudent shoppers (and I am by far not the only one doing this) are snatching up bargains that are now trading 80% to 90% off.
Ideas I’m digging right now:
- True Gold Mining (RVREF/TGM.V) @ ~C$0.22/share
- Teranga Gold (TGCDF/TGZ.TO) @ ~$0.53/share
- Yamana Gold (AUY) @ $1.80/share
- Lake Shore Gold (LSG) @ $0.80/share
TGM.V, TGZ.TO, LSG are essentially already at those prices outlined above. AUY would have to fall slightly more.
My main concern isn’t that prices will keep dropping, rather, I just hope that I will have enough funds to keep on buying.
Now that is a very real problem that all investors/ speculators have to deal with! 🙂
Happy Bargain Hunting!
Photo Credit: Endeavour Silver